Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Roy 51.9% (+5.1%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 80.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Tavares
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
51.9% (547)
+5.8%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
54.1% (37)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
53.3% (92)
-1.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Tavares
Roy
Home
57.4% (636)
54.0% (328)
Away
57.2% (612)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Tavares
Roy
P1
57.5%
53.5%
P2
56.9%
51.6%
P3
57.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%