Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Acciari 50.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 88.7%
Neutral zone
Acciari 53.1%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Tavares
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Tavares
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Tavares
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
52.7% (313)
+5.0%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
33.3% (18)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
49.7% (195)
+2.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Tavares
Acciari
Home
57.4% (636)
52.6% (291)
Away
57.2% (612)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Tavares
Acciari
P1
57.5%
53.7%
P2
56.9%
51.1%
P3
57.5%
48.5%
OT
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |