Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.9%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 53.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Tavares
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
17
(31 meetings)
14
17
Tavares
Bergeron
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
4
Tavares
Bergeron
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
10
Tavares
Bergeron
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Tavares
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
62.5% (1,109)
-5.0%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
62.2% (352)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
53.5% (245)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bergeron
Home
61.0% (661)
61.9% (917)
Away
55.3% (584)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Tavares
Bergeron
P1
58.6%
60.8%
P2
57.8%
60.3%
P3
58.4%
63.0%
OT
66.7%
51.5%
Final 5 min
63.4%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |