Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Brown 51.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 68.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Tavares
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tavares
Brown
Last 5: Tavares 3-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Brown
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Tavares
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
52.8% (284)
+4.7%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
75.0% (4)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
49.0% (51)
+10.1%
On power play, Brown has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Brown is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Tavares
Brown
Home
61.0% (661)
53.5% (144)
Away
55.3% (584)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Tavares
Brown
P1
58.6%
49.0%
P2
57.8%
48.7%
P3
58.4%
58.6%
Final 5 min
63.4%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |