Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Krebs 45.4% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 53.4%
Defensive zone
Krebs 81.5%
Neutral zone
Krebs 59.4%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Tavares
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Tavares
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Tavares
Krebs
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Tavares
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
44.4% (403)
+13.3%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
33.3% (6)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
45.0% (20)
+7.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Tavares
Krebs
Home
57.4% (636)
46.3% (205)
Away
57.2% (612)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Tavares
Krebs
P1
57.5%
47.0%
P2
56.9%
45.4%
P3
57.5%
40.7%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |