Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Danault 54.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 79.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 69.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 69.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Tavares
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Tavares
Danault
Last 8: Tavares 5-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Tavares
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
56.2% (745)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
45.1% (51)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
51.6% (124)
+0.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Tavares
Danault
Home
57.4% (636)
56.7% (402)
Away
57.2% (612)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Tavares
Danault
P1
57.5%
55.5%
P2
56.9%
54.2%
P3
57.5%
55.2%
OT
57.1%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |