Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.8% vs Suter 48.1% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.2%
Defensive zone
Suter 69.7%
Neutral zone
Suter 53.0%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Tavares
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (691)
48.7% (261)
+10.3%
Power Play
57.2% (173)
36.4% (11)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
44.2% (52)
+19.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Tavares is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Tavares shoots left. Suter is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Tavares
Suter
Home
58.0% (500)
45.9% (170)
Away
59.7% (375)
49.4% (154)
By Period
Tavares
Suter
P1
59.5%
48.0%
P2
58.5%
48.1%
P3
58.2%
47.1%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.7%
Suter
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |