Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Suter 48.3% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.6%
Defensive zone
Suter 72.6%
Neutral zone
Suter 55.2%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Tavares
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
49.7% (372)
+8.0%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
47.4% (19)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
39.8% (83)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Suter is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Tavares
Suter
Home
57.4% (636)
47.1% (242)
Away
57.2% (612)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Tavares
Suter
P1
57.5%
48.2%
P2
56.9%
47.7%
P3
57.5%
48.8%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | John Tavares |