Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Byfield 45.8% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 92.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 84.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Tavares
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Byfield
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Tavares
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
46.8% (801)
+10.9%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
50.8% (59)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
35.9% (153)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Byfield is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Tavares
Byfield
Home
57.4% (636)
46.3% (462)
Away
57.2% (612)
44.6% (551)
By Period
Tavares
Byfield
P1
57.5%
44.6%
P2
56.9%
43.4%
P3
57.5%
48.7%
OT
57.1%
37.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Byfield
54.0%▼
57.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |