Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Rakell 44.8% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 69.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 64.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Tavares
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Tavares
Rakell
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tavares
Rakell
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Rakell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
44.2% (1,886)
+9.8%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
50.2% (203)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
21.7% (23)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Tavares shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Home / Away
Tavares
Rakell
Home
56.1% (10,525)
46.6% (1,055)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
42.4% (1,058)
By Period
Tavares
Rakell
P1
55.0%
45.6%
P2
54.1%
41.9%
P3
54.0%
46.1%
OT
55.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |