Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 24 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Sheahan 50.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Sheahan leads 30-30 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.2%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 77.7%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 58.5%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Tavares
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
30
(60 meetings)
30
30
Tavares
Sheahan
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
22
2
Tavares
Sheahan
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
22
Tavares
Sheahan
24 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Tavares
Sheahan
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (15,885)
51.0% (4,968)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.5% (4,221)
55.6% (322)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (612)
44.3% (1,068)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,318).
Tavares shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Tavares
Sheahan
Home
56.1% (10,389)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
52.7% (10,358)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Tavares
Sheahan
P1
55.1%
51.3%
P2
54.1%
51.2%
P3
54.0%
48.1%
OT
56.0%
35.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 18:25 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |