Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Hartman 45.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 22-7 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 79.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 94.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Tavares
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
7
(29 meetings)
22
7
Tavares
Hartman
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
1
Tavares
Hartman
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
1
Tavares
Hartman
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
5
Tavares
Hartman
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
45.2% (4,279)
+8.8%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
47.3% (446)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
42.4% (262)
+8.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Tavares shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hartman
Home
56.1% (10,525)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Tavares
Hartman
P1
55.0%
46.1%
P2
54.1%
42.9%
P3
54.0%
46.7%
OT
55.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.7%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | OT | 00:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |