Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Strome 44.6% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 43-26 in 69 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 96.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 77.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 95.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Tavares
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
26
(69 meetings)
43
26
Tavares
Strome
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
17
10
Tavares
Strome
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
14
8
Tavares
Strome
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
12
8
Tavares
Strome
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
44.2% (6,887)
+9.8%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
49.2% (855)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
41.5% (410)
+9.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Tavares shoots left. Strome is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,773).
Home / Away
Tavares
Strome
Home
56.1% (10,525)
44.4% (4,077)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
44.8% (4,075)
By Period
Tavares
Strome
P1
55.0%
43.9%
P2
54.1%
45.4%
P3
54.0%
44.4%
OT
55.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Strome
50.0%▲
45.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:44 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:11 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 06:40 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Neutral | John Tavares |