Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Bennett 48.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 80.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 89.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Tavares
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
2
(12 meetings)
10
2
Tavares
Bennett
Last 10: Tavares 9-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Bennett
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
46.4% (811)
+11.3%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
56.9% (153)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
47.8% (46)
+4.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bennett
Home
57.4% (636)
49.9% (553)
Away
57.2% (612)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Tavares
Bennett
P1
57.5%
47.4%
P2
56.9%
46.8%
P3
57.5%
48.9%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |