Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Bennett 47.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 42-23 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 95.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 90.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 93.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Tavares
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
23
(65 meetings)
42
23
Tavares
Bennett
Last 10: Tavares 9-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
13
8
Tavares
Bennett
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
17
11
Tavares
Bennett
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
12
4
Tavares
Bennett
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
46.8% (5,714)
+7.2%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
53.6% (558)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
41.8% (256)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Tavares shoots left. Bennett is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,259).
Home / Away
Tavares
Bennett
Home
56.1% (10,525)
48.3% (3,296)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Tavares
Bennett
P1
55.0%
48.0%
P2
54.1%
46.5%
P3
54.0%
46.8%
OT
55.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
54.7%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 12:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 06:12 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |