Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 54.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 66.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Tavares
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Tavares
Reinhart
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
2
Tavares
Reinhart
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
4
Tavares
Reinhart
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
44.6% (345)
+14.6%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
43.3% (97)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
43.2% (88)
-0.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Tavares
Reinhart
Home
57.5% (668)
47.9% (267)
Away
61.1% (684)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Tavares
Reinhart
P1
58.0%
45.6%
P2
60.1%
42.0%
P3
61.0%
45.4%
OT
27.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.7%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |