Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Pinto 51.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 66.5%
Neutral zone
Tavares 81.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Tavares
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Tavares
Pinto
Last 7: Tavares 5-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Tavares
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
50.5% (556)
+7.2%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
68.0% (25)
-12.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
51.1% (94)
+1.1%
On power play, Pinto has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Tavares
Pinto
Home
57.4% (636)
50.0% (310)
Away
57.2% (612)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Tavares
Pinto
P1
57.5%
51.8%
P2
56.9%
49.8%
P3
57.5%
53.1%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |