Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Pinto 50.4% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 27-25 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 73.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Tavares
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
25
(52 meetings)
27
25
Tavares
Pinto
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
13
1
Tavares
Pinto
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
7
14
Tavares
Pinto
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
7
10
Tavares
Pinto
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
50.7% (2,752)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
54.4% (90)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
45.6% (239)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Tavares shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Tavares
Pinto
Home
56.1% (10,525)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Tavares
Pinto
P1
55.0%
48.4%
P2
54.1%
51.9%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
55.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:30 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |