Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Teravainen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Teravainen 44.6% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 50.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 66.8%
Neutral zone
Teravainen 50.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Tavares
Teravainen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Tavares
Teravainen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Teravainen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Teravainen
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
43.3% (60)
+14.4%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
33.3% (30)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
35.7% (14)
+16.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Teravainen shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Teravainen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Tavares
Teravainen
Home
57.4% (636)
47.5% (59)
Away
57.2% (612)
28.9% (45)
By Period
Tavares
Teravainen
P1
57.5%
30.3%
P2
56.9%
38.9%
P3
57.5%
45.5%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Teravainen
32.0%▼
39.0%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Teuvo Teravainen |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | John Tavares |