Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Nosek 48.5% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 73.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 70.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 52.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Tavares
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
52.0% (102)
+5.7%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
100.0% (2)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
29.0% (31)
+23.2%
On power play, Nosek has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Tavares
Nosek
Home
57.4% (636)
52.0% (50)
Away
57.2% (612)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Tavares
Nosek
P1
57.5%
45.0%
P2
56.9%
42.0%
P3
57.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.9%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%