Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Konecny shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Konecny 45.2% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Konecny 53.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 63.2%
Neutral zone
Konecny 55.0%
Result
Travis Konecny favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Tavares
Konecny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tavares
Konecny
Last 6: Tavares 3-3 Konecny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Konecny
0
2
Tavares
Konecny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Konecny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Konecny
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
41.0% (83)
+18.2%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
40.0% (5)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
33.3% (9)
+9.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konecny shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Konecny is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Tavares
Konecny
Home
57.5% (668)
32.7% (55)
Away
61.1% (684)
50.0% (42)
By Period
Tavares
Konecny
P1
58.0%
40.0%
P2
60.1%
26.5%
P3
61.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
60.7%
31.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Konecny
34.0%▼
38.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:02 | Neutral | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |