Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 57.6%). Tavares wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.8% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 72.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 58.2%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Tavares
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (975)
58.5% (135)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.0% (250)
80.0% (5)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
44.4% (18)
+7.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Tavares shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Tavares
Karlsson
Home
57.4% (636)
63.7% (91)
Away
57.2% (612)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Tavares
Karlsson
P1
57.5%
54.4%
P2
56.9%
66.7%
P3
57.5%
51.9%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%