John Tavares vs Zemgus Girgensons
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Tavares wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Girgensons leads 19-17 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 69.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 82.0%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 65.9%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Tavares
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
19
(36 meetings)
17
19
Tavares
Girgensons
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
6
Tavares
Girgensons
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
2
8
Tavares
Girgensons
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Tavares
Girgensons
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,169)
45.5% (2,718)
+8.5%
Power Play
56.4% (4,298)
49.1% (175)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (624)
42.2% (483)
+8.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Tavares shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Tavares
Girgensons
Home
56.1% (10,525)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
52.7% (10,595)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Tavares
Girgensons
P1
55.0%
45.8%
P2
54.1%
44.1%
P3
54.0%
45.7%
OT
55.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:11 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 17:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |