Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Kastelic 58.1% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 87.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 76.4%
Neutral zone
Drouin 57.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Drouin
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Drouin
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Drouin
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
60.8% (362)
-13.3%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
83.3% (6)
-26.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Drouin is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Drouin shoots left. Kastelic is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Drouin
Kastelic
Home
49.5% (97)
60.3% (242)
Away
49.2% (128)
59.2% (272)
By Period
Drouin
Kastelic
P1
52.1%
58.9%
P2
51.5%
57.3%
P3
45.0%
64.0%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
66.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |