Jonathan Drouin vs Matt Duchene

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Matt Duchene holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Drouin 49.5% vs Duchene 51.8% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone Duchene 51.0%
Defensive zone Duchene 53.7%
Neutral zone Duchene 52.0%
Result Matt Duchene favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Drouin Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Drouin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
51.1% (366)
-3.6%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
61.5% (65)
-4.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Drouin
Duchene
Home
49.5% (97)
51.7% (201)
Away
49.2% (128)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Drouin
Duchene
P1
52.1%
49.0%
P2
51.5%
57.1%
P3
45.0%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%
49.5%
49.3%
Duchene
56.0%
51.0%
52.2%