Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Dowd 48.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 84.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Drouin
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drouin
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Drouin
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
51.0% (671)
-3.5%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
0.0% (2)
+56.8%
On power play, Drouin has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Drouin is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Drouin shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Drouin
Dowd
Home
49.5% (97)
48.2% (471)
Away
49.2% (128)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Drouin
Dowd
P1
52.1%
48.3%
P2
51.5%
46.8%
P3
45.0%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |