Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Paul 53.6% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 60.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 85.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 71.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Drouin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Drouin
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
53.7% (354)
-6.2%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
59.0% (61)
-2.2%
On even strength, Paul has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Drouin
Paul
Home
49.5% (97)
55.1% (216)
Away
49.2% (128)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Drouin
Paul
P1
52.1%
54.9%
P2
51.5%
54.5%
P3
45.0%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 02:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |