Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Drouin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drouin wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Johansen 58.2% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 69.7%
Defensive zone
Johansen 60.8%
Neutral zone
Johansen 75.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Drouin
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Drouin
Johansen
Last 5: Drouin 3-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
1
Drouin
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drouin
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
59.8% (625)
-14.7%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
58.2% (196)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
51.9% (27)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Drouin is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Drouin shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Drouin
Johansen
Home
37.5% (160)
60.3% (436)
Away
49.5% (220)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Drouin
Johansen
P1
40.3%
61.3%
P2
43.3%
60.4%
P3
49.6%
56.0%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
37.1%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
48.0%▼
50.5%
44.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 05:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |