Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Carrick 54.2% (-5.7%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 80.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 76.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Drouin
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
55.5% (470)
-8.0%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
66.7% (3)
-9.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drouin is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Drouin shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Drouin
Carrick
Home
49.5% (97)
58.6% (261)
Away
49.2% (128)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Drouin
Carrick
P1
52.1%
55.9%
P2
51.5%
53.5%
P3
45.0%
55.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%