Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drouin wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 96.2%
Defensive zone
Drouin 63.7%
Neutral zone
Drouin 81.2%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Drouin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Drouin
Kuraly
Last 7: Drouin 1-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Drouin
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Drouin
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
51.6% (5,161)
-8.1%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
56.4% (101)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
44.4% (1,091)
-5.3%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Drouin shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Drouin
Kuraly
Home
44.0% (1,041)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Drouin
Kuraly
P1
45.9%
51.2%
P2
42.0%
50.0%
P3
45.0%
50.2%
OT
47.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |