Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Meier 48.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 56.2%
Defensive zone
Drouin 58.2%
Neutral zone
Drouin 52.2%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Drouin
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Drouin
Meier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
41.1% (95)
+6.4%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
65.4% (26)
-8.6%
On power play, Meier has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Meier is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Drouin
Meier
Home
49.5% (97)
40.4% (57)
Away
49.2% (128)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Drouin
Meier
P1
52.1%
34.0%
P2
51.5%
50.9%
P3
45.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Meier
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |