Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Meier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Meier 44.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Meier 52.0%
Defensive zone
Drouin 55.3%
Neutral zone
Drouin 50.0%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Drouin
Meier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drouin
Meier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Meier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Meier
0
1
Drouin
Meier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Meier
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
41.3% (470)
+2.2%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
51.5% (103)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
35.7% (14)
+3.4%
On penalty kill, Drouin has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Meier shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Drouin shoots left. Meier is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Drouin
Meier
Home
44.0% (1,041)
43.2% (280)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
42.7% (307)
By Period
Drouin
Meier
P1
45.9%
43.3%
P2
42.0%
44.7%
P3
45.0%
40.4%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Meier
48.0%▲
45.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Timo Meier |