Jonathan Marchessault vs Lars Eller
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.7% vs Eller 55.0% (-18.1%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 72.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Marchessault
Eller
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
56.0% (459)
-20.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
77.8% (9)
-11.1%
On even strength, Eller has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Marchessault shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Eller
Home
40.0% (25)
52.6% (215)
Away
33.3% (12)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Marchessault
Eller
P1
50.0%
54.1%
P2
30.8%
57.6%
P3
22.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
12.5%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%