Jonathan Marchessault vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.7% vs Backlund 49.8% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 82.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 83.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Marchessault
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
50.5% (944)
-15.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
51.5% (66)
+15.2%
On even strength, Backlund has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Marchessault shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Backlund
Home
40.0% (25)
48.1% (636)
Away
33.3% (12)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Marchessault
Backlund
P1
50.0%
45.4%
P2
30.8%
54.1%
P3
22.2%
49.2%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
12.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%