Jonathan Marchessault vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.7% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 57.9%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Marchessault
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
45.9% (697)
-10.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
47.9% (117)
+18.8%
On power play, Marchessault has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Marchessault is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Marchessault shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Schmaltz
Home
40.0% (25)
44.9% (434)
Away
33.3% (12)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Marchessault
Schmaltz
P1
50.0%
41.5%
P2
30.8%
46.7%
P3
22.2%
51.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
12.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%