Jonathan Marchessault vs Sean Couturier
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.7% vs Couturier 53.6% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 51.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 92.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 70.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Marchessault
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Marchessault
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
1
0
Marchessault
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
53.9% (792)
-18.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
62.9% (70)
+3.8%
On even strength, Couturier has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Marchessault shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Couturier
Home
40.0% (25)
51.4% (541)
Away
33.3% (12)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Marchessault
Couturier
P1
50.0%
56.0%
P2
30.8%
52.6%
P3
22.2%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
12.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |