Jonathan Marchessault vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchessault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchessault wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 42.3% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 96.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.3%
Neutral zone
Marchessault 58.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Marchessault
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Marchessault
Kuraly
Last 5: Marchessault 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Marchessault
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
1
Marchessault
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (1,441)
51.6% (5,161)
-10.2%
Power Play
44.3% (264)
56.4% (101)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.4% (1,091)
+0.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Marchessault is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,122).
Marchessault shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Kuraly
Home
42.6% (892)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
41.0% (822)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Marchessault
Kuraly
P1
43.3%
51.2%
P2
42.2%
50.0%
P3
39.9%
50.2%
OT
42.3%
52.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
41.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |