Jonathan Marchessault vs Sean Monahan
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.7% vs Monahan 52.5% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 50.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 79.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 65.7%
Result
Jonathan Marchessault favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Marchessault
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Marchessault
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
1
0
Marchessault
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
53.0% (874)
-17.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
54.7% (161)
+12.0%
On even strength, Monahan has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Marchessault shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Monahan
Home
40.0% (25)
53.8% (558)
Away
33.3% (12)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Marchessault
Monahan
P1
50.0%
49.5%
P2
30.8%
54.8%
P3
22.2%
52.8%
OT
100.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
12.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |