Jonathan Marchessault vs Warren Foegele

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Warren Foegele holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foegele shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Marchessault 46.7% vs Foegele 48.8% (-6.6%)
Offensive zone Marchessault 60.3%
Defensive zone Foegele 52.1%
Neutral zone Marchessault 53.5%
Result Jonathan Marchessault favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Marchessault Foegele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Marchessault
Foegele
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
50.0% (24)
-14.7%
On even strength, Foegele has a +14.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Foegele shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Marchessault shoots right. Foegele is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Foegele
Home
40.0% (25)
50.0% (12)
Away
33.3% (12)
40.0% (15)
By Period
Marchessault
Foegele
P1
50.0%
40.0%
P2
30.8%
50.0%
P3
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
12.5%
33.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%
32.5%
37.8%
Foegele
36.0%
46.0%
44.4%