Jonathan Marchessault vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Marchessault wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.7% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-19.8%)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 62.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 78.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Marchessault
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
58.5% (135)
-23.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
80.0% (5)
-13.3%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Marchessault is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Marchessault shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Karlsson
Home
40.0% (25)
63.7% (91)
Away
33.3% (12)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Marchessault
Karlsson
P1
50.0%
54.4%
P2
30.8%
66.7%
P3
22.2%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
12.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
36.0%▲
32.5%
37.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%