Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.9% vs 61.6%). Raty wins 60.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Toews 60.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 65.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 77.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 50.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Raty
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Toews
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Raty
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
62.6% (728)
-2.6%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
59.4% (143)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
46.9% (32)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Raty is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Raty shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Raty
Toews
Home
60.2% (354)
61.1% (455)
Away
61.8% (272)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Raty
Toews
P1
55.7%
59.7%
P2
67.1%
66.7%
P3
59.0%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
61.3%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |