Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Toews 57.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 79.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 86.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 78.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 81.6%
81.6%
18.4%
Jenner
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Jenner
Toews
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
8
Jenner
Toews
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
5
Jenner
Toews
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Jenner
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
57.2% (13,079)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
63.3% (3,254)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
53.6% (1,810)
-5.2%
On power play, Toews has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,209).
Jenner shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Home / Away
Jenner
Toews
Home
54.5% (4,073)
59.7% (9,212)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
56.1% (8,962)
By Period
Jenner
Toews
P1
53.6%
58.6%
P2
53.6%
57.9%
P3
54.5%
57.3%
OT
54.5%
58.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | OT | 04:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | OT | 02:08 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 29, 2019 | OT | 01:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |