Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Toews 60.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 69.7%
Defensive zone
Drury 75.9%
Neutral zone
Drury 53.5%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Drury
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Drury
Toews
Last 8: Drury 3-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Drury
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Drury
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
61.3% (690)
62.6% (728)
-1.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
59.4% (143)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (165)
46.9% (32)
+4.0%
On power play, Toews has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Drury is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Drury
Toews
Home
59.0% (417)
61.1% (455)
Away
59.2% (448)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Drury
Toews
P1
58.9%
59.7%
P2
58.3%
66.7%
P3
59.9%
58.4%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
72.0%▲
59.0%
59.1%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |