Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Norris 49.9% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 56.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 58.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 54.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Toews
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Toews
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Toews
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
50.5% (388)
+12.1%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
47.6% (84)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
42.9% (7)
+4.0%
On even strength, Toews has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Toews
Norris
Home
61.1% (455)
48.1% (233)
Away
62.1% (448)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Toews
Norris
P1
59.7%
53.1%
P2
66.7%
49.2%
P3
58.4%
48.4%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Josh Norris |