Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 22 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Eller 50.5% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 25-10 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 98.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 89.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 94.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 96.2%
96.2%
3.8%
Toews
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
10
(35 meetings)
25
10
Toews
Eller
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
20
2
Toews
Eller
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
5
Toews
Eller
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Toews
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
51.1% (10,321)
+6.1%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
52.8% (621)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
46.6% (1,759)
+7.0%
On power play, Toews has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Toews
Eller
Home
59.7% (9,212)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Toews
Eller
P1
58.6%
51.2%
P2
57.9%
50.1%
P3
57.3%
50.2%
OT
58.9%
56.7%
Final 5 min
58.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 15:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 09:53 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 03:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:36 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2017 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |