Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Komarov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.8% vs Komarov 47.6% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 95.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 71.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 84.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Toews
Komarov
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
6
(17 meetings)
11
6
Toews
Komarov
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Komarov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
7
1
Toews
Komarov
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Komarov
1
4
Toews
Komarov
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Komarov
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Komarov
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (12,906)
48.6% (695)
+8.5%
Power Play
63.2% (3,220)
37.5% (16)
+25.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,808)
45.6% (417)
+8.0%
On power play, Toews has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Komarov shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,532).
Toews shoots left. Komarov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Toews
Komarov
Home
59.6% (9,086)
49.2% (537)
Away
56.1% (8,879)
45.7% (591)
By Period
Toews
Komarov
P1
58.7%
47.6%
P2
57.7%
47.3%
P3
57.2%
47.5%
OT
58.8%
41.2%
Final 5 min
58.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.9%
Komarov
46.0%▲
42.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 17:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2018 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2016 | OT | 04:20 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 22, 2016 | OT | 00:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 15:42 | Defensive | Leo Komarov |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |