Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Duchene 54.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 55.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 69.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 61.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Toews
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Toews
Duchene
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
3
Toews
Duchene
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
55.4% (1,013)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
56.3% (192)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
41.2% (17)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Toews shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Toews
Duchene
Home
56.6% (927)
56.2% (642)
Away
56.0% (953)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Toews
Duchene
P1
56.3%
56.2%
P2
55.8%
56.5%
P3
57.3%
52.9%
OT
48.6%
64.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
56.3%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 11:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 01:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |