Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 76.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 53.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Toews
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
53.9% (193)
+7.2%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
49.2% (65)
+22.7%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
100.0% (1)
-40.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Toews
Duchene
Home
64.8% (560)
54.9% (113)
Away
60.6% (381)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Toews
Duchene
P1
62.3%
54.9%
P2
63.9%
52.7%
P3
62.8%
51.9%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
63.1%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.9%