Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Beniers 48.8% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 50.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 55.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 58.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Toews
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Toews
Beniers
Last 6: Toews 3-3 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Beniers
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
Toews
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
48.3% (862)
+14.3%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
58.3% (36)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
50.0% (32)
-3.1%
On even strength, Toews has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Toews
Beniers
Home
61.1% (455)
52.4% (460)
Away
62.1% (448)
45.1% (470)
By Period
Toews
Beniers
P1
59.7%
47.5%
P2
66.7%
50.6%
P3
58.4%
47.6%
OT
80.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
58.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 18:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |