Jonathan Toews vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs McCarron 52.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 97.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 61.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 88.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Toews
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Toews
McCarron
Last 6: Toews 5-1 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
53.3% (2,926)
+3.9%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
45.3% (86)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
50.1% (469)
+3.5%
On power play, Toews has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,498).
Toews shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Toews
McCarron
Home
59.7% (9,212)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Toews
McCarron
P1
58.6%
53.8%
P2
57.9%
52.3%
P3
57.3%
51.9%
OT
58.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |