Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 71.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 78.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 53.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 64.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Toews
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Toews
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
53.3% (807)
+9.3%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
47.6% (42)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
46.3% (147)
+0.6%
On power play, Toews has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Toews shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Toews
Zibanejad
Home
61.1% (455)
49.8% (466)
Away
62.1% (448)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Toews
Zibanejad
P1
59.7%
52.9%
P2
66.7%
51.2%
P3
58.4%
51.7%
OT
80.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |